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Tuesday, October 18, 2005 

Week 7 Preview; bye weeks NE, Car, TB, Jax, even storm troopers get breaks


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Week 6 looks and touches (the best way to evaluate a players value)

Indy at Houston;



-This game is seemingly easy to call. The Colts will crush the Texans this week. No shit asshole. The real information to extract is what players will perform in this game. Regardless of matchup you can not bank on the Indy passing game to explode. Marvin and Reggie are getting open, but they are more often than not blocking for their screen and run game. They have rarely been forced to show up this season. Down 17 nil this past monday they still deferred to defense and the running game. Peyton and co. were productive, but only in a real football sense. They were reqiured to perform on only 6 third and longs. The running game is very reliable in Indy. They no longer pass first as the Eagles do, they truly allow their defense to set the table and their running game to make dinner. Peyton is a still a spectacular (real) QB, making audilbles and decisions that would baffle Mike Martz, but his role has changed. He wants to win a chip, and Dungy has sold him that game management and pace will win out over a fireworks display. I'll give Houston very little pub. They suck beyond belief. They have no offensive lineman of true note. They have drafted and prepared their defense to fail. With the exception of Daunte Robinson they have no pro-bowl caliber players on D. This was all realized last week when the ball boy ran for a buck after sean alexander was done molesting them. Trust sense and numbers here, Edge will rape them, Peyton will dick sauce them. The final score will be around 41-16.

-Good plays; Obviously watch for Edge to literally butt rape these fools. Dom Capers should be selling text books somewhere, he shouldnt be allowed near a football field. Marvin puts up very solid numbers, better than so far, P. Bucchanon and Daunte Rob often switch coverage schemes and will not be able to stick with either Reggie or Marvin, but Harrison will come out on top here. I say 130, 7 grabs and a touch. Reggie gets 6-80 and no touch. I like Dallas Clark too, in general he is a shit head but he will perform against the lumbering Texans LB's. Pay attention to Dominik Davis, hes a stud. He performs despite the 3rd grade offensive scheme. Has anyone watched the Texans? They dont even max protect Carr. He hits the ground more than Baghdad school children (that was bad). I mean fuck, get this kid a vest or some shit, he's on pace to have the most sacks ever. Dont start any Texan with confidence besides Davis. Even then his value lies in reception leagues. I endorse Peyton for 265 and 2TDs, but he may not be playing in the 4th, due to a gaping ass wound of a victory. ps; in reception leagues watch for Gaffney coming off a 10 catch game.



Bmore at Chicago;

- Both of these teams disgust me fantasy wise. This is like watching your parents fuck, wait thats actually disgusting, but its close. Wow, wait, thats really really not cool. But lets run with it anyway. Both teams have ridiculous defensive speed. Bmore has largely dissapoined as both a defense/special teams and as an offense (if you can call them that). The offensive genius that is Brian Billick (mastermind of the late 90's Vikings, also known as D.Green) has done little to support that moniker. I, no really I could prepare a better offense than Billick; he has a top offensive line, solid TE, two new but solid Wr's, two solid varied backs. His problem is he's such an arrogant cock brain that he cant admit that he needs a QB. He never addressed this. He's had years to do so. He's drafted safety's, lineman, recievers all very high, though he never addresses QB. He is a complete ego turd. He will not be there in two years because he never allowed humility to set in. Watch Chicago win because Lovie Smith allows his talent to perform. They have a great running game going with the incredibly surprising Thomas Jones. Staving off Benson all season, with no signs of relenting. It's like the Chargers QB situation; can you sit a winner? Watch the two defenses duke it out, while Bmore wins out in desperation. Although Billick's offense will still place him as a complete shit stain.

-Good Plays; How can you endorse Jamal Lewis? he hasn't done anything this year. I thought prison made you diesel and hard. It made Jamal soft, "give me your cocktail, fruit". In any case, its Chester Taylor who has a penchant for the long run. There's been speculation that Taylor will cut into his carries, but again Billick is too stuborn to allow for adjustment, so that wont happen enough to matter. Play Mason, he gets solid totals in reception leagues, and along with Heap they are the only plays in the Bmore offense that are solid. Thomas Jones may not go nuts, but he will get his touch and close to a buck on the ground. Both defenses are solid in both run and pass, but Bmore is against the ropes with bot Pitt and Cinci ahead of them. I like Bmore in a gross game. The fg's will be flying so watch out, and Bmore may get a defensive TD off of Orton.


San Diego at Philly

-Reid is stellar coming off the bye. He has lost 4 of his last 5 going into the bye, and has won all 5 coming out. I'm honestly concerned here though. The bolts have a prolific running game and a QB that doesent hold the ball long. They also have this guy named Gates, and we all know the eagles are shitty against the TE (Gonzo being the exception). It's the Chargers secondary that gets them in trouble. Quentin Jammer was the 5th pick of the draft a few years back, and he may be moved to safety after the season due to his lack of pure coverage skills. The Chargers have had a brutal schedule so far and may be tired from so many tough match-ups. The Birds will win because they must. A loss would be devastating to the ego of the team. In reality they've been largley outplayed this season. I hope the Cowboy game woke them from their slumber, because LT is wide awake. The birds need this game though, so look for a dramatic win based on a second half slowing of LT and McNabbs ability to get big plays to TO and a few to G.Lewis.

-Good Plays; TO is a monster, the best at his position by far. Same with LT and Gates. Don't worry about the Gates game last week (2 catches). He will rebound (pun) from the Raiders game and get high yardage, and with him a TD is never far away. Donnie Mac will get his too, 3 TDs in the most pass heavy offense ever. B West must contend with a fast LB core but he'll get his looks, and will break a long TD lining up in the slot. I'm warry of both defenses here. I do think though that Brees will through a int or two. So dont play Brees unless you must. AJ Feely returns to hold the clipboard. A sleeper concern here is the Chargers return game, Sproles is a great return man, can anyone say Ryan Moates?


Nice Pass Brooks
golfreason1

New Orleans at St. Louis

-Somehow I like New Orleans. They put together a solid running display against the Falcons (who lost their MLB) and ron Brooks turned it over but didn't kill them. What killed them was allowing a FG attempt to become a TD for the Falcons. This week though they face a reeling Rams team. Ofcourse their offense is prolific. But it lacks consistancy and committment to the run. With a backup coach ( a good thing, while martz has a beat ticker) and backup QB (this queens name is Jamie?), they have little else to do but commit to Jackson and even Faulk. Even without Horn the Saints will move the ball with ease. Stecker is a good change of pace back and is a little bit like Mewelde Moore, he'll get catches too. Watch for Stallworth to continue his quietly solid year. I like the Saints, although they might just shoot themselve again, which seems like a weekly ritual.

-Good Plays; Brooks is a solid play against the sieve defense in St. Louie. I actually said that two weeks in a row, thats scary. Stallworth is a good play, and watch for Hakim who has been solid for two weeks now that Horn is back and forth with his hammy. Devery Henderson is a sleeper canidate as well. A.Smith and Stecker will split carries, with Smith being a valuable goaline play. I hate that since I lost Duece and didn't pick up Smith, a complete fuck up on my part. But in any case play Smith if you need to. I like Steven Jackson to play very well. He should get 30 touches with Bulger out, but I've never seen Martz and or his cronies committ, the only time he did was in the 2002 NFC Championship against the Eagles, and guess what, they won. The Rams recievers are seemingly a big downgrade, but Holt will always get his, but Curtis is not a great play this week. If you consider either defense as a play your huffing freon. Although both kickers will produce with two offenses prone to mistakes.


Kansas City at Miami;

-The Chiefs have been a disapointment in both real and fantasy football. The defense made some quality upgrades, but didn't address the ability to pressure the QB. KC can not hold a lead, and I'm not simply referring to the Philly game, they let the Skins and Raiders come back into games that they were dominating as well. Another major issue is Vermiel. The team is in limbo because he wont be there for much longer. He's gonna pull a Larry Brown on them; create a team that really only he can manipulate then bounce. I love Vermeil, he's a solid coach despite his never ending crying. But the Cheifs have no future QB or recievers. They are a competitive team that will be bad in two years. Miami on the other hand is on the upswing. Sabin is a very promising pro talent, coming from the tutelage of Belichick never hurts. Their defense is aging but they have a promising young offense. They need to address QB obviously and get a possesion reciever to open things up for chambers and randy. KC will take this game though. Miami has been an early surprise but they won't be able to keep up with the KC attack.

-Good Plays; It's hard to say if Ricky or Brown is the better play. I actually think they could both be ok plays in this game. With Sticky Icky getting catches and a goaline look or two. And Ronnie getting more bulk and better totals, with a TD if KC doesent take an early big lead. I like McMichael, although he's settling into his more normal numbers. He will still be a top 5 TE, just not on that crazy Gates like pace he started on. Frerotte is not the worst play here, if you have someone even worse or on a bye, which makes you very bad. Chambers gets many targets, in the mid 40's for the year, I like him to get a TD this week. I cant play the Miami defense here against the high powered Chiefs offense which will explode soon. The good KC plays are Priest, Kennison and yes, despite no evidence to support this, Gonzo, who has been about as big as a bust as can be. He'll get 7 catches and a touch, I hope. Green is a good play, but is gimpy with that splint in his leg. Watch little known and never used Marc Boerigter to play well, with Sammie "shit hands" Parker out for the week.

where have you been?
gonzoringsmall



Tenn at Arizona;

-There's a QB controversy brewing here. McCown has put up monster yardage number since he took over. He has proven to be much more effective than Warner. I can't see how Warner would be the call, fuck loyalty, be loyal to winning. I would play McCown if I was Green and evaluate if he can be your future Qb, since Warner certainly wont be. I'd also be fat old and black but thats the trade off. The Cardinals are the only team right now with two true stud wideouts. With no running game as of yet they look like they might be able to continue. This game will be a shootout. A turnover laden, defensive touchdown shootout. Jones will step up in Bennett's place and looks like he could perform. Super bust Calico may finally get some looks, although he seems clueless out there, with drops and fumbles when he's called on to perform. Chris Brown is a solid fantasy player when healthy, which means he sucks. Really though he's a good play here, but his running style will never work. He runs like he's holding in a shit. Or like Michael Johnson, which is one and the same anyway. I think Fisher is a top coaching talent, his GM fucked him with the cap and he needs a lot of help to get this team back on track. McNair is a warrior but will never be the same it seems. I'd like to say that Zona takes this one with that incredible home field advantage, although I really dont know in this one.

-Good plays; McCown, Fittz and Boldin are all solid plays. With Fittz being the true stud. I can't advocate using Shipp, even though they need to establish the run at some point. Thats about it, besides the top kicker so far Rackers, who, for some reason I used my waiver on this week. I really like Troupe and Jones this week, I would like to see Calico do well but he won't. Brown will get over a buck and a TD again, but isnt a long term solution for your team. I like the Tenn defense in a surprise call, they have a young yet aggressive defense that gets to's and td's. Both kickers will get action in a high scoring affair.


Detroit at Cleveland;

-Detroit is biding it's time till Garcia gets back. Which is a bad sign, waiting for a injury prone canadian leaguer with a major gay lisp to save you. Mooch is a good coach though. But the WR experiment is fucking them, you can't put that much draft value into one position when you have LB and DE needs among others. Especially when Joey goon boy Harrington is your Qb. He doesen't get "" since he's actually a complete goon. Keving Jones is a major bust. Even with bad matchups his yardage totals are gross. I like the Lions defense though, they are average in real football but are oppurtunistic much like the Titans and Giants. Romeo is a future star in the coaching ranks. He seems like he don't take no bullshit. He recently said that no one's job is safe on offense, which is true. The Charlie Frye experiment will begin by week 11. This game is Detroits to lose. Which they often enjoy doing. But I think Mooch has more to cook with right now.

-Good Plays; Jones would be a good play if he wasn't hurt. Despite his horrible start the schedule gets gravy for a while. If he's out Pinner and Bryson share an already shitty attack. I like the Lions defense. Bryant will get good looks, but will have a safety and Bly on him all day. I'm wary of Ruben overall, he hasnt gotten in the endzone yet, but he is a solid backup in fantasy and will get that elusive touch this week. Sit both QBs, and I can't really tell shit about a kicker anyway.


Denver at NYG;

-I hate the stupid poopy face Giants. I really hate them and their North Jersey Bon Jovi douche bag commuting fans. Eat balls. OK, lets get down to it shall we. This is a good fantasy game to evaluate. With both teams having multiple plays all over. The Giants will go as Eli does. Tiki is still a stud, and the defense is better than it has been in years, but Eli will determine their fate. People got all hard over Eli's early success. He torched the weak secondaries of the Rams and Bolts, just as everyone else has. He's still very young, but obviously very talented. I'd let him fuck my future wife just so I could have a Manning too. Really I would. The Shocker is the only Giant I can stomach. Only because I hear from a Miami alum that he smashed a beer on a dudes face in a bar, which is rad. He's on pace for 1200 and 10tds. He will top a G and get 8 if he stays healthy, which is a top 2 or 3 tightend season. The Broncs have a maddening tandem in play at running back. Bell is emerging, but Shannahan wont commit to a single back, which is a real trend in todays NFL. Plummer is now a game manager, he threw for 4G last year, he's averaging less than 200 a game now. His mustache is rumored to be the key to solid play.

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check this out too, save the stache

Good plays; Start Plummer, but be careful with Eli. The Bronco's defensive line is emerging and will get pressure on the Giants. Start Rod Smith and Lelie will get a long play again. Shock nuts is solid and will be a safety valve all day for Eli. Plax is a top 10-12 reciever, though I'm not completely sold on him yet. Take that one monster day out and he's a good #2. I like Bell and Anderson this week, both will get a TD. But Bell will get more totals. The sleeper play is Toomer, who is a solid real reciever with no real fantasy buzz. Play both kickers here. Tiki is obvious, Jacobs has stalled since being an early TD vulture. Denvers defense is solid.

SF at Wash;

-The Alex Smith era has begun. There's no turning back now. The Niners just traded Rattay to the Bucs. The 49ers started the season on a high note, shocking the Rams and competing with the Cowboys. That's all over now. Get ready for some college type scores. Nolan is a very promising coach. But he's got very little to work with. His defense is talented but has major holes in the pass defense. The offensive line is a joke. And a running game would really help the young kid. First off I'm not sold on Smith anyway. He's not a traditional top pick QB. He's not a tall kid and doesen't have the traditional cannon, plus he came out of a shotgun system. The Skins have shown great big play ability with Moss and Cooley as top passing options. Gibbs needs to get a true bruising back and he's good to go. The Portis experiment isn't working, he's a cut back and counter runner in a tackles offense. This will be gross this week.

-Good Plays; play Moss and Brunell with confidence. Cooley can play either RB or TE in most leagues. The great play is the Redskins defense. Watch for Portis to finally get a TD, if he doesent deport him. Play not a single Niner, not even the water boy, they'll all get crushed.

Dallas at Seattle;

-This game is a solid matchup. The Boys are coming in with mad confidence in themselves. They are thinking back to last years monday night slaying of the Hawks when JJ had a 150 and 3tds. This game will be close and will be decided by the last 6 minutes. Shaun will reverse the karma and drop another monster on these cowgirls. Hassleback will manage the game but have modest fanasty numbers. I like the Cowboys playoff chances though, they are tough at home and if JJ can return to form they'll win 10 games. The Hawks could win their division shootin H, its a wrap out west. The Hawks are tough to beat at home, I like them by 3.


-Good plays; Start several key positions from each squad; I like Witten to have another great day, Meshawn and Glenn are solid, with Key getting the TD. Bledsoe and Hassleback are moderate plays, start someone else if you can. I like JJ if he plays, and Shaun even if he doesent. Both kickers will be busy. Joe Jur will get solid totals, and is always a look in the redzone. Despite tons of hype, Stevens is stil a lower tier TE, he'll get ok numbers but relies heavily on TD's. Stay away from both defenses. Go Hawks GO.


Pitt at Cinnci;

-Another good game here. The Bengals have played one good team and lost. The Steelers have played good teams throughout. With Big Ben out you really got a chance to see how valuable he is. If 16-1 wasnt enough for you. The Bengals need to run early, so they can establish a play action attack to free up Chad deep and Perry in the screen. The "Stillers" (burgh accent reqiured) will run run run all over the place. With Bettis back, Cowher realizes he needs to feed the beast at the goaline. If Ward is back I fully expect a Steelers win. They are simply a better team overall. The Cinnci defense is smoke and mirrors for now, give Marv two years or even less and they could contend, literally for a chip. Cowher is given new life with Ben in place, if he gets his hands on a true young stud RB, watch out, this division could be the best in football for years to come.

-Good Plays; Despite the Steelers stout defense, I still like the Bengals offense. Palmer is a must start regardless, he's the top QB in fantasy since McNabb's injury. Chad as well, you need to play him. If TJ is healthy he's a play, but not for big numbers at all. Its tough to call which RB to pick in Cinnci , Rudi is the real football back and Perry the fantasy man. I like Perry to play very well in receptions, he may get their only back TD. Rudi is a truck but so are the Steelers up front. If he hasnt gotten it done against lesser opps why now? Play Ben, he'll get two TDs, and Bettis will get one as well. Parker is a weak play but will get between the 20's yards. Ward is a must play if healthy, since he's the best option in the passing game. I like what Heath Miller has done, he's emerging, early on he was a TD man only, now he's becoming valuable in yards and catches too. Play both defenses, although the Cinncy def is a weak play. The kickers will be used heavily, so start them.

Buff at Oakland;

-Buffalo is a tough team to evaluate. Their defense among the best against the past and worse against the run. Their running game is dope with Willis and their passing has struggles, though it's shaping up. The Raiders are a mess. Their defense blows. Their offense is underperforming big time. Collins has 6 TDs, I thought he'd have that by week three. Jordan is the only stud on that team right now with Moss out. Another very tough game to call. I like the Bills though, they boast an excellent secondary and a solid line. Their linebackers are weak and that kills their run D. Porter needs to prove that he can hold the team over. Watch Gabriel be the better player here. Norv turner had all his ducks in line to have a crazt offense and a shitty defense, instead he has a weak passing game and a shitty defense. The Bills are too balanced here to go against. They could be a surprise wild card club.

-Good Plays; The Bills will feed Willis all day, he could go off, like really off. Holcomb and Moulds are ok plays too, as they have a good connection so far. Evans needs to prove he can be a deep threat, which is tough with Holcombe's arm, Lee misses Drew. I like the Bills defense here, more for their threat in the turnover and return game than in holding the Raiders to low numbers. Collins is a weak play, Jordan is a must start, and Porter gets an upgrade. Gabriel could be the top reciever while Moss is out though. Courtney Anderson is also a play to look to.


Green Bay at Minny;

-Both teams generally blow. With the Packers blowing a little less. Green has a chance to actually have a good game, oh how the mighty have fallen. Daunte is a mess. He obviously has the tools to be a great QB, he just doesent have the running game or talent at wideout to help him. It doesen't help that he has the reincarnaiton of Kotite advising his every move. Green Bay looks to seemingly kill these assclowns. Burleson is back so maybe that helps, who knows. Favre is still a force and should never be questioned, ever. He deserves the benifit of any and all doubts. Tice shouldnt be a coach at all in the league, he's still the lowest paid coach in football and is a big stupid harry and the henderson motherfucker with a motorolla headset.

-Good plays; Go with Favre and Green. They will produce. Driver and Ferguson get looks all day. I like Franks here too, if he is good to go. Don't play Daunte if you dont have to. Play wiggins and moore, they will be heavy targets of a reeling Daunte. If you must, play Nate as a 3rd reciever, and I like GB's kicking game to be used heavily. The Vikings may be the worst team in football, considering they were supposed to be a real threat out of the NFC, who is a bigger dissapointment than them?



NYJ at Atlanta; monday night

-The Jets head to Atlanta to take an L. Vinny is gonna get it this week. I know Tampa wasn't able to get to him, but Atlanta's pass rush is sick. The only hope is to let Curtis eat clock and yards, which can be accomplished against the Falcons after losing Hartwell for the year. The game will be fairly competitive, since the Jets have a very solid run defense. But the Falcons are tough to beat at home. I attended the Atl Philly game this year and it was loud as shit. I couldnt hear myself shudder as I watched my team get shit dicked. In any case, the Falcons are a very solid team. I know people endorse Schaub as a better QB than Vick. Which in some ways is true, but one thing Vick has always done very well is win. You can not deny a winner. Fantasy wise he's useless, I'd rather have 15 other QB's, maybe more in Fantasy. But in real tackle football, this man is a winner. The Jets need to look long term. They gave up their future runnning back; L.Jordan, which they had to. But they still have no dominant WR or tight end to make up for the eventual drop off when Curtis is gone. I would fire Edwards and bring in a young gun to start all over.

Good plays; Martin is a resurgant force in fantasy. He'll get tons of touches and goaline looks (if they get that far) and remains the only consistant play on the Jets, besides their defense. The recievers are bunk, Coles is a solid reception player, with 90 rec last year, but 1 TD. Are you fucking kidding me? One TD in what would have to amount to over a 120 looks last season. There is something wrong here. Don't trust McCarreins untill he makes you. I like Dunn with a solo role as the back. Vick will be under pressure, and Dunn will get 5 catches or so to go along with a solid ground day. Don't play Vick or any Falcon in the passing game. Even with Crumplers talent, he still only caught 49 passes last year while Gates, Witten, Gonzo, E.Johnson and McMichael all had over 80. Thats a huge gap. Play both defenses and I would assume both kickers. This game is kind of gross, like thos 7-11 pizza rolls, only fuck with them if you must.