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Thursday, August 31, 2006 

Fantasy Football WR rankings;

wr

Having depth at WR receiver is nearly as important as RB depth. Most leagues use 3 receiver and 2 running back format. If you lack depth or are hit with injury at RB, you can make up for it with studs at wide out. Last year I lost Duece McAllister and Julius Jones for most or all of the season and was still able to contend because I had strong receivers (even with the loss of Javon). A star receiver can carry your team like a running back does, as long as you get points per reception. I don’t understand leagues that give no points for receptions; they are the basis of value for a receiver. A wide-out who can pull down 6-7 balls (in a reception league) a game and 90+ yards will give you 12-15 points or so every week, with touch downs being gravy. It’s fairly easy to determine the high end receivers. Their careers are longer and the stars last longer. Running backs can go down in an instant. If you can get your hands on two potential #1 guys at WR, you should cock-stain your league. I started last season with Ward, Chad and Javon with plans to pig rape my league. With the small number of top tier backs you may be forced to consider WR in the second. Be prepared and understand the differences among the top guys.


This upcoming fantasy season will be defined by the wide out. More than ever before you will see them drafted in the late first and into second rounds. Running back is still the top position to target, since they guaranteed touches and (often) only one back per team is worth fantasy consideration. But this season there are less true elite backs available.


Taken off the elite list after years of being sure fire first/second picks are; Jamal “Tony Yayo” Lewis (why do athletes suck after prison (pun)? I would think after all those push ups, shower rapes and circle jerks that they’d be super diesel and raring to play, but guys like Jamal and Mike Tyson both fell off after pre-prison domination.), Ahman Green is an injury waiting to happen, Curtis Martin is on the brink of retirement, Corey Dillon is still the starter but Maroney looks like a monster and may push for touches regardless of Dillon’s health, Fred Taylor has value with Jones out but he had fantasy aids. All of these players were once great fantasy backs, not any more. Other than Lewis I won’t touch any of them really. They are now second and third tier backs. The WR position didn’t see nearly this much degeneration and loss this season, if anything WR depth seems to be increasing.


There are still several high level backs to draft after the first 8 or so elite ones are gone, but none that are the trusted monsters that you build your roster around. There are many reasons for this problem, the most prominent being the employment of committee backfields, they are now a common trend thanks to googly eyed Shanahan. With less safety at RB wide outs will now be drafted much higher.



I smell a career year patna
chad_johnson


1. Chad;Chad is an elite talent, with incredible route skills and sure hands. He is the team’s (and possibly leagues) best big play threat. TJ is a great #2, but he is still a second fiddle to CJ. I’ve been a little disappointed in his TD output so far, and he had 4 games last season that were forgettable. But he plays through injury and has an elite QB to work with. People forget that Chad is only 28 and is in the absolute prime of his career. I would like to see at least 12 TDs out of Chad this year to support this ranking. He is early second round material. Other receivers may seem more potent; Chad is safer, he will get you 95+ rec and 10+ guaranteed.

This has nothing to do with my Pitt affiliation, I honestly see him at #2
fitz

2. Larry; Fitz is a monster. May seem like a reach this high, but could easily be #1 this season. He has incredible hands and may lead the league in TDs. He is good for 100 and 10 no doubt(he already did that by the way). It really doesen’t matter who throws to him, he goes up and gets it. His numbers after this season will put him in very elite company to start a career.

3. Steve Smith; He had a monster year with absolutely no other receiver to defuse the coverage. His hammy is a legit issue and affected his ranking; but he’s a gamer and will still produce early and often. He routinely saw a safety or a nickel back in addition to his cover db, and his yac was still ridiculous. His TD celebrations were funny and slept on. He is essentially a running back with amazing hands. He is the best wr in the league at making the first man miss. Besides TO, there is no one else I trust more to create a big play out of nothing. The only thing that really concerns me is his tendency to disappear; he had a 1 catch game during the fantasy playoffs and 2 & 3 catch games with no TDs, that’s a little scary. Key should to help punish the double teams and help Smith avoid those weak games. He is a second rounder.

Torry is the safest wr in the past 5 years.
2534878JG002_Cardinls_Rams

4. Torry; I considered Big Game in top 3. Torry had 102 receptions and 9 TDs last season; he missed two games to injury and had three shit head QBs to work with, one of whom, Jaime Martin, installed my cable box last week and asked if he could borrow 5 bucks and some lotion. Don’t believe the hype, Holt is the truth and can be trusted for 100+ receptions and 10+ TDs. He is a reasonable late first round option if you don’t like the backs that are left. .


Not that you need much more evidence of his blatant homosexuality, here's further proof anyway

to gay

5. TO; The man is an incredible weapon on the field. He is however very evil otherwise; every time he catches a touch-down an angel gets raped. He will put up sick numbers as you know, and he will undoubtedly be on sportscenter every night so you can revel over his production and behavior. In all honesty he’s a top 20 overall pick. After the top backs he is possibly the next best TD option (Fittz too). In many drafts he’ll go top 3 among wrs; I won’t be that guy. He will play and play well but can’t be trusted.



Ok Randy, now that you've smoked that second blunt, take instruction from Aaron Brooks, that's the key to success
randy_moss


Randy; Wow, can you believe that you just read a top 5 list with no Randall Moss. That’s silly, but with crack rock Brooks I couldn’t see putting him over these 5. He is clearly still an elite talent. It’s just that he’s now had 2 straight years marred by injury and inconsistent production. For the past two years he has been relegated to being a redzone weapon first and a deep threat second. He is certainly worth a second round look based solely on his past numbers, only if you feel you can acquire some solid sleepers to make up for his potential loser tendencies. His 04 and 05 combined totals are barely better than his 03 performance alone. I place Randy here in limbo, between the top 5 and the rest of the bunch. Buyer be warned, homeboy is a risk and his QB is even more of loser than that lush Collins.


The rest;

Marvin and Reggie; These guys both have top 5 potential this season. Marvin’s “down years” are still sick. I’ll take a bad 12TD season any day. Both of these guys will produce like #1’s now that Edge is out and they will be relied on in the redzone. Marvin is a late 2nd round pick and Reggie is a great late 3rd round pick. Are you staring to see what I mean about there being a bunch of safe productive wideouts versus the potential risks of taking the likes of McGahee and Deuce. You need elite RBs to win but don’t underestimate the importance of dank receivers (nick). Three #3’s will not a championship make; you’ll regret it all season.


Anquan Boldin; Even more impressive than Holt’s reception numbers, Anquan missed three games and still put up 102 catches. That’s ill. Edge will take the pressure off the passing game, and rook Lenny Pope at TE will develop and provide a valve for Warner. If this team can establish any kind of protection for the QB we may call these cards the Warner Bros pretty soon. Expect receptions in the 90’s and very likely 8+ TDs. This offense could look like a second rate Colts, which is a good thing. He is a late second round talent

Ward and Ben could connect for top TD numbers
ward

Ward; He is among my favorite players in the league. He’ll get crushed and bounce up with a smile. He’s almost kind of sick in the head. His receptions have dipped significantly in the Ben era, but their TD connection is undeniable. He had 13 TDs in the 16 games they played together last year (incl. playoffs). I see Hines as a late 4th rounder.

Chambers is rising fast in fantasy since Daunte looks good to go
AAGS077~Chris-Chambers-05-06-Diving-Catch-Posters

Chris Chambers; He has great potential, and with Daunte he could hit his stride. He has never had a good QB, so it’s hard to say how good he could be. I would certainly grab him in the 3rd. I don't like him over Boldin or Ward personally, but he is a #1 fantasy wr this season.

Santana; Much better than that shit brain rapper from the dip set, Moss had a big year. With the addition of Lloyd and Randle El (what the fuck is that El, is it Randle The?) Moss will be free to go deep and put up more TDs. He is a good late 3rd rounder but be careful making him your clear #1, try to surround him with another top receiver to protect your team. Brunell is suspect so be wary of Redskins in general.

Roy Williams; With a ton of talent, Kitna and Martz as the o-coordinator, Roy is ripe for a breakout. His QB has held him back, now it’s on him to produce. TDs could be epic; I’m talking 12 possibly. He’ll likely be a late 3rd into 4th pick.

Burress; He has the talent and size to rank ahead of most of the names ahead of him, but his work ethic and ridiculous first name hold him back. I saw him drop several TDs last season and take even more plays off. But with Eli maturing and the team adding Moss to stretch the field for him, Burress could become a #1 fantasy wideout, that’s could. Draft him in the late 4th to 5th round or so.


Pussy

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• Javon Walker; He looks pretty good in preseason so far. His talent has never been questioned, his health and character have. He seems healthy and the character TO comparisons were way off; dude was still on his rookie deal after a 12TD dominant season. He really wasn’t being paid, and Favre shat on him in public- it was Favre’s biggest mistake; he undercut his star receiver in the middle of a negotiation, so if the Pack look like dog dick again this season, remember that Brett sold Walker out. Plummer can actually bomb it despite the strict offense they have him in (see Lelie ’04), and Walker is a true vertical receiver. I expect 10 TDs, and high 70’s in receptions.


• Galloway; He was great at times last year, only he actually had a game where D.Hall (Falcons) held him catch-less. I would temper your expectation of him since he did his best work with Griese, even though he was still solid with Simms. I see him as solid #2 with #1 potential. The 5-6th round is a good place to grab him.

• D Jax; He is always slept on as a top wr, he’s quiet and humble, so that rarely gets noticed. But he can be a very productive player for your squad. He’s good for 90 catches and 8 TDs this year, with the potential for more. His knee is the problem, at this point he’s slated to start the opener but he hasn’t practiced as of yet. If you land him in the 6th you’re getting pretty good value for him.

I won't miss Horn's celebrations, but his TDs would be nice again
horn

• Joe Horn; Gotta give him the benefit of the doubt, a really tough season and a horrible QB lead to his worst season. He could very well return to his #1 production with Brees and the new staff. His ego won’t allow any less really.

• Andre Johnson; He finally has a competent peer to help him out, Moulds is the perfect complement to free AJ. His skill set is elite; he has shown flashes of dominance but suffered from stacked defenses and a shit o-line that keeps Carr on the ground. With a slight upgrade in protection and a big upgrade in coaching talent Andre now has the support he needs to flourish. He should be a 5th rounder.

dmasin

Derrick Mason; Back with McNair you can expect 90 catches and 8TDs, great #2 shit. The 5th is his round.

• Driver; Last year he put up good #2 totals, and you can expect that again. He's not a great value since he's been going in the 5th, but in a reception league he could be worth that.

TJ Housh; He defines both a real and a fantasy #2; consistant and at times can take over. 80 receptions and 7TD is a lock if Carson is to form.

Branch; In limbo; will slip far in drafts and should be taken as your #3 imo. I don't love his game, but in NE he is a sole #1. I expect him to stay.

He may actually produce throughout the year
LeeEvans

Lee Evans; can he ever produce before December? This cat is the Santa Claus of football. He has gone on TD binges in his first two season with 90% of his production in December. He lacks a solid QB and will not have Moulds to help him anymore, I wouldn’t draft him unless I have my 2 backs, 2 stud wrs and a TE, but his potential is intriguing in the 7th round. With a heavy increase in targets Evans could be a sleeper #2 if Willis and running game can move the ball.

Rod Smith; Trustworthy #2 who gets drafted as a #3. Take him in the middle rounds and expect 75 and 6 minimum as your production.

• Braylon; He is similar to Andre, a player with ridiculous skills and weak peers. Jurevicius will help but who will be their QB? Frye has developed a real rapport with Winslow, it will take a little time to gel with Braylon coming off an ACL tear just 9 months ago. He may play early in the season, but I wouldn’t trust him to be a starter on my team going in. Take a run at him in the 8-9th or so if he’s there as your 4th.

• David Givens; He has a chance to flourish in Nashville and has the potential to put up some nice numbers. He was stunted in the Pats spread system, with more looks I expect Givens to flourish. He is a #3 fantasy guy (in a pt per rec league with the ability to be better than that.

Drew Bennett; With either Volek or Collins Bennett can be a legit TD threat. I like his value in the drafts I’ve done so far. You can land him into the 10th or later and expect 8+ TDs this season.

Terry Glenn; He is a great pick to be a sleeper again, of course having TO will help, he could put up some really nice numbers, pick him as your 3rd or 4th. His TDs could be high; 8 or so.

Reggie is still a breakout candidate
EAGLES GIANTS

Reggie Brown/Donte Stallworth; This tandem is athletic as any in the league. I never thought I’d say that about the Eagles receivers. Brown is young but shows great promise and veteran work ethic. Stallworth had his best season and is among the fastest players in the league but has underachieved to this point in his career. McNabb will work well with them; I expect solid but not great fantasy seasons here. Stallworth honestly has more TD potential with the deep ball threat. But Reggie is more comfortable in the offense. Draft them both around the 6th to 7th or so.


Matt Jones/ Wilford/Reggie Williams; The young guys turned it on late, but it’s too crowded to decide a true #1 here. Jones should have the best numbers, but I don’t like any of them as a week to week starter for my team.

Michael Clayton; Coming off a shit year Mike will slip this season, but it was largely injury that held him back in my opinion. The 9th round is realistic. Take him if you have some depth established; he very well should return to relevance.

Eddie Kennison; Old head with some left in the tank; his numbers reek of #3 shit, he is not a trusted fantasy wr; his offense doesent rely on him for many plays, a few a game at most. Let him slip for a player with more upside (Brown, Jones for example)


Chris Henry's on house arrest but is allowed to catch TDs, and Palmer likes him
chris henry

Later Round sleepers;L.Coles; a #1 who slips to #3 land in fantasy, Muhammed; That offense is still dook, I dont like him as a starter on my roster, Chris Henry/Kevin Curtis; Speedy #3s who have their QBs eye, both could have 7+ TDs, Troy Williamson, Anotonio Bryant (#1 wr), Moulds (high reception), Greg Jennings (GB rookie), Mark Clayton(Bmore #2), Keenan; will slip but could get 8 Tds or more, Chad Jackson; very late value, could produce as a rook, Mark Bradley (Bears) could produce if Rex can sling it.

Last weekend down the shore, last chance to use those ruffies gentlemen